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CMG Bid Success Estimator

Evaluate Your Chance of Winning Before You Invest in the Bid

CMG’s Bid Success Estimator helps contractors assess whether a government contract opportunity is realistic, competitive, and worth pursuing based on the same practical factors CMG reviews during a Go / No Go decision.

The tool asks questions across four major areas: technical approach, staffing plan and key personnel, prior experience, and price / cost analysis. Each section helps identify whether your company is positioned to submit a strong, credible, and competitive proposal.

Launch the Estimator

Complete the estimator to review your technical fit, team readiness, past performance strength, and pricing intelligence before committing proposal time.

Technical Approach

Reviews whether you can produce a work plan aligned with the scope of work and whether your firm has the experience and capacity to perform.

Staffing Plan

Reviews key personnel qualifications, required experience, in-house staffing, and whether outsourcing or teaming may be needed.

Prior Experience

Reviews whether your past projects are verifiable, relevant, comparable in scope, and similar in dollar size or project magnitude.

Price Analysis

Reviews whether you understand prior pricing, budget information, competition level, and whether you know how to price the bid.

Actual Evaluation Factors

What the Bid Success Estimator Measures

The estimator is built around four core scoring categories. Higher-value questions focus on the areas that usually have the strongest impact on whether a contractor can compete effectively.

1

Technical Approach

This section evaluates whether your company can respond to the scope of work with a credible work plan and realistic performance strategy.

  • ✓Can you produce a work plan aligned with the scope of work?
  • ✓Does your firm and team have 3 to 5 years of experience managing this kind of project?
  • ✓Can your firm perform without hiring or adding significant new resources?
2

Staffing Plan / Key Personnel

This section evaluates whether your proposed team meets the qualifications required by the RFP and whether you have the personnel available to perform.

  • ✓Do your key personnel meet all required qualifications and experience?
  • ✓Do you have all required personnel in house?
  • ✓Do you only have some personnel in house?
  • ✓Will you need to outsource or team for some or all key personnel?
3

Prior Experience

This section evaluates the strength of your past performance and whether it matches the project the agency is trying to award.

  • ✓Do you have at least three verifiable government past performance projects?
  • ✓Can a government agency contact those references?
  • ✓Do the projects match the same estimated dollar range and magnitude?
  • ✓Are the projects relevant and aligned with the scope of work?
4

Price / Cost Analysis

This section evaluates whether your pricing is informed, realistic, and based on useful market or agency spending information.

  • ✓Have you requested prior contract pricing through FOIA or public records?
  • ✓Do you know what the agency previously paid or what budget may apply?
  • ✓Are there fewer than 10 known interested bidders or planholders?
  • ✓Do you know how to price this bid?
Important: The Bid Success Estimator is a planning and decision-support tool. It does not guarantee an award and does not replace a full solicitation review, pricing analysis, compliance review, or proposal strategy.

How to Use the Result

The score should help guide your next move. A strong score may support moving forward, while a lower score may show that you need more research, a teaming partner, pricing support, or a No Go decision.

High Readiness You may be better positioned to pursue if the scope, team, experience, and pricing are strong.
Moderate Readiness You may need added support, teaming, pricing research, or proposal strengthening.
Low Readiness The opportunity may be too risky or may require more preparation before bidding.
Strategic Decision Use the result to support a Go, No Go, Monitor, or Teaming decision.
Launch Tool

Start the Bid Success Estimator

Open the tool, answer each section, and use the result as a practical review before investing time and resources into a proposal.

CMG Bid Success Estimator
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